Haines Avalanche Center

Forecast Expired - 02/19/2023

Above 2,500ftConsiderable

1,500 to 2,500ftModerate

Below 1,500ftModerate

Degrees of Avalanche Danger

Avalanche Problems

Problem 1

Persistent Slab:

The Bottom Line: Our current snowpack has avalanche problems that have the potential for severe consequences. Load/trigger and steeper slope angle are the missing ingredients of causing serious harm. Wide margins of safety are highly recommended

 

N NE and NW slopes may be harboring wind slabs. Winds are building cornices on ridges, also gullies/ other terrain features might be cross loaded. 

 

Be prepared for an avalanche that could step down to deeper instabilities, creating a slide that could break very wide, and take out all the “safe” zones on a slope. Be extra careful not to group up in places that an avalanche can reach. Be diligent and patient, practice good group management, communication and decision making. Keep small groups helping everyone to have a voice. Systems and checklists help reduce the human factor. Do not ski/ride on the same slope as another group. Travel one at a time or with enough spacing so that only one person is exposed to an avalanche path at any one time. There are plenty of safe and beautiful opportunities for riding in this region.

 

When seeking out wind protected zones, remember that wind-protected pockets may be harboring weak, buried surface hoar layers. Protected means preserved.

 

Buried Surface Hoar Layers:

  • Jan 25th melt freeze crust is 1-2′ deep (with recent winds and snow, there is a lot of variability on depth of this widespread layer) sitting on top of it are near surface facets, and buried surface hoar from Feb 1-4.
  • January 10th surface hoar is now buried about 3-4 feet deep. Reports of remote-triggered activity on this layer Jan 27-28.
  • The Dec 31 surface hoar layer is present in the Transitional and Pass zones, about 4+ft deep. This layer has been active in pits, and caused some natural avalanches in early January

 

Feb 17- Haines Pass W, SW aspect. 2500′ The pit pictured below produced a ECTP19 down 40cm on facets under a thin ice lens/Jan 25 layer.

 

Feb 17- Haines Pass tree line 2500’ S aspect ECTP24 40 cm down, below Jan 25 crust

 

Feb 17- Haines Pass W, SW aspect. 2500′ The pit pictured below produced a ECTP19 down 35cm on Jan 25 crust/Feb 1-4 facet interface

 

 

 

Jan 22- Propagating result down 45 cm, 2,300′ SW-aspect, 7-Mi Haines Chilkat Pass.

 

 

Photo taken on Jan 12 of Surface Hoar on a W aspect near treeline in the Haines Pass.

 

 

Likelihood:

  • Almost Certain
  • Very Likely
  • Likely
  • Possible
  • Unlikely

Size:

  • Historic
  • Very Large
  • Large
  • Small

Trend

  • Increasing
  • Steady
  • Decreasing

Problem 2

Deep Slab:

Deep weak layers under strong layers are persistent in the pass. A wide safety margin is necessary. This setup could produce avalanches that break wider than expected, and are most likely to be triggered from shallow trigger points like rocks or small trees or a smaller slide that steps down to these lower instabilities.  You could ride the same slope numerous times until that right spot produces a large destructive slide.

 

Old Melt Layers and Crusts:

  • Cold temperatures and a shallow, wind scoured early season snowpack created conditions for depth hoar growth.
  • A buried persistent weak layer about 6+ feet deep (The “Big Warmup” Layer, Formed Nov 17th) is still a concern. Numerous natural avalanches observed 1/27 likely on this layer.

 

Feb 17- Haines Pass W, SW aspect. 2500′ Faceted clusters found near the ground

 

Photos shows 6-9mm advanced depth hoar at the ground down 180cm with ECTP 25 down 80cm on facets below a crust in the Haines Pass Zone at 4,000ft on a NE-aspect.

 

Likelihood:

  • Almost Certain
  • Very Likely
  • Likely
  • Possible
  • Unlikely

Size:

  • Historic
  • Very Large
  • Large
  • Small

Trend

  • Increasing
  • Steady
  • Decreasing

Avalanche Activity

 

Feb 9th: Glide cracks ~3000-3400′ in the transitional zone on N, NE aspects. Also notable was observation of reloading of bed surfaces on previous slides.

Feb 1st:

Isolated fresh D2 wind slab avalanches in cross-loaded gullies near the Little Jarvis/Klehini area.

January 25-29th:

Reports of two snowmachine-triggered slides at the Pass, one was this D2 up West Nadahini Creek above 4,000′ failed 2-7′ deep on an isolated terrain feature. (likely slid on buried surface hoar)

Recent Natural activity

R4 D2.5 at the Pass, likely ran on buried surface Hoar, stepped down to depth hoar at ground. Photo by David Morisette, via MIN.

D3 NE aspect 6000′ near Nadahini with widespread propagation.

D3 cycle between 3000-6000ft. All aspects. Most were unsupported slopes or rocky areas. Crowns 1-3m deep, ran just above ground.

 

Multiple D2 that ran about 2ft deep. In wind protected areas.

 

2000-3000ft widespread full depth wet slabs and glide avys, all aspects.

D2 N aspect 4300ft sub bowl of Old Faithful failed down to near ground, Was confined to a smaller pocket.

D3 on SW aspect at Lutak Inlet, ran down to the water

D4 on Takhin Ridge

Weather

Forecast:

Overcast, with some broken sky. Temps low 20s F in the alpine. Light southeast to east winds with moderate gusts.  Light precipitation with around .5″ accumulation.

 

Recent Weather Summary:

  • Incremental snow (more in Lutak zone) since Feb 5th, periods of moderate south winds
  • Feb 1-4 Near surface facets on top of crust from Jan 25 warm-up
  • Jan 17-26 brought around 5″ of precip (3-5feet of new snow above 3000ft), strong SE winds, and a noticeable warmup
  • Surface Hoar and Near Surface Facet growth Jan 8-10
  • A strong front brought 24-30″ of snow above 2000ft on Jan 2nd.
  • There was widespread Surface Hoar growth on Dec 31st.
  • Dec 23-26 brought 10-18″ of new snow and a sharp rise in temperatures from -10F to 30F along with variable winds
  • Dec 16-23 brought strong NW winds and arctic cold temperatures
  • Dec 15 brought warmth/light rain up to 2600ftComplete Season Histories:     Transitional Zone     Lutak Zone

 

Additional Information

WEAR A HELMET! Be careful of rocks and hidden hazards. Be prepared for crevasses when on a glacier. 

Are your riding companions trained and practiced in avalanche rescue? Everyone in your group needs to have a beacon, shovel, and probe, and know how to use them. Our mountains have very limited cell coverage, carry an emergency communication device and enough gear to spend the night.

Avalanche Canada’s Daily Process Flow – Utilize this everyday you go out in the mountains.

Announcements

Click the +Full Forecast link below for each zone to read more.  If you see any recent natural avalanche activity, or signs of instability please submit an observation.