Haines Avalanche Center

Forecast Expired - 02/18/2023

Above 2,500ftConsiderable

1,500 to 2,500ftConsiderable

Below 1,500ftModerate

Degrees of Avalanche Danger

Avalanche Problems

Problem 1

Wind Slab:

The Bottom Line: Lutak received 2-3 feet of snow this week. This snow is available for transport by forecasted SE winds. Lingering wind slabs could also still be reactive.  N NE and NW slopes may be harboring windslabs, there are cornices building on ridges, and gullies/ other terrain features maybe cross loaded. The poor structure is widespread, additional stress from this weeks snow has being added, don’t be the trigger that tips the scale. Control what you can: human factor and terrain.

 

Terrain management is critical! Be prepared for an avalanche that could step down to deeper instabilities, creating a slide that could break very wide, and take out all the “safe” zones on a slope. Be extra careful not to group up in places that an avalanche can reach. Be diligent and patient, practice good group management, communication and decision making. Do not ski/ride on the same slope as another group. Travel one at a time or with enough spacing so that only one person is exposed to an avalanche path at any one time. 

 

 

 

 

 

Likelihood:

  • Almost Certain
  • Very Likely
  • Likely
  • Possible
  • Unlikely

Size:

  • Historic
  • Very Large
  • Large
  • Small

Trend

  • Increasing
  • Steady
  • Decreasing

Problem 2

Persistent Slab:

Jan 25th melt freeze crust is ~3-4′ deep (with recent winds, there is a lot of variability on depth of this widespread layer) sitting on top of it are near surface facets, and buried surface hoar from Feb 1-4.

 

Surface Hoar observed in sheltered N-NE areas of Lutak Feb 1.

 

Pit from Feb 1 in Lutak reveals a layer cake of a snowpack.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Likelihood:

  • Almost Certain
  • Very Likely
  • Likely
  • Possible
  • Unlikely

Size:

  • Historic
  • Very Large
  • Large
  • Small

Trend

  • Increasing
  • Steady
  • Decreasing

Problem 3

Deep Slab:

An unlikely to trigger, but high consequence deep slab layer remains. The “Big Warm-Up layer” from Nov 17th is not to be forgotten about. Although currently dormant, a smaller slide triggered on the upper snowpack could step down and trigger this deadly beast.

 

Lutak, Feb 4 PST 70/130 End down 130 rounding faceted polycrystals.

 

Likelihood:

  • Almost Certain
  • Very Likely
  • Likely
  • Possible
  • Unlikely

Size:

  • Historic
  • Very Large
  • Large
  • Small

Trend

  • Increasing
  • Steady
  • Decreasing

Avalanche Activity

Feb 9: Glide cracks ~3000-3400′ in the transitional zone on N, NE aspects. Also notable was observation of reloading of bed surfaces on previous slides.

Lutak Zone:

Jan 28:

Glory Hole NW-aspect around 3,200′

Lutak NW-aspect around 3,200' Jan 28

 

Transitional and Chilkat Pass Zones:

January 25-29th:

Isolated fresh D2 wind slab avalanches in cross-loaded gullies near the Little Jarvis/Klehini area.

Reports of two snowmachine-triggered slides at the Pass, one was this D2 up West Nadahini Creek above 4,000′ failed 2-7′ deep on an isolated terrain feature. (likely slid on buried surface hoar)

Recent Natural activity

R4D2.5 at the Pass, likely ran on buried surface Hoar, stepped down to depth hoar at ground. Photo by David Morisette, via MIN.

D3 NE aspect 6000′ near Nadahini with widespread propagation.

D3 cycle between 3000-6000ft. All aspects. Most were unsupported slopes or rocky areas. Crowns 1-3m deep, ran just above ground.

 

Multiple D2 that ran about 2ft deep. In wind protected areas.

 

2000-3000ft widespread full depth wet slabs and glide avys, all aspects.

D2 N aspect 4300ft sub bowl of Old Faithful failed down to near ground, Was confined to a smaller pocket.

D3 on SW aspect at Lutak Inlet, ran down to the water

D4 on Takhin Ridge

Weather

Forecast:

Overcast with light snow throughout the day, accumulation ~2 inches. Temps in the upper 20s. Freezing level ~300 feet. Light SE winds.

 

Recent Weather Summary:

  • Feb 12 freezing levels 1250ft
  • Incremental snow (more in Lutak zone) since Feb 5th, periods of moderate S/SE winds
  • Feb 1-4 Near surface facets on top of crust from Jan 25 warm-up
  • Jan 17-26 brought around 5″ of precip (3-5feet of new snow above 3000ft), strong SE winds, and a noticeable warmup
  • Surface Hoar and Near Surface Facet growth Jan 8-10
  • A strong front brought 24-30″ of snow above 2000ft on Jan 2nd.
  • There was widespread Surface Hoar growth on Dec 31st.
  • Dec 23-26 brought 10-18″ of new snow and a sharp rise in temperatures from -10F to 30F along with variable winds
  • Dec 16-23 brought strong NW winds and arctic cold temperatures
  • Dec 15 brought warmth/light rain up to 2600ftComplete Season Histories:     Transitional Zone     Lutak Zone

 

Additional Information

WEAR A HELMET! Be careful of rocks and hidden hazards. Be prepared for crevasses when on a glacier. 

Are your riding companions trained and practiced in avalanche rescue? Everyone in your group needs to have a beacon, shovel, and probe, and know how to use them. Our mountains have very limited cell coverage, carry an emergency communication device and enough gear to spend the night.

Avalanche Canada’s Daily Process Flow – Utilize this every day you go out in the mountains.

Announcements

Click the +Full Forecast link below for each zone to read more.  If you see any recent natural avalanche activity, or signs of instability please submit an observation.