Haines Avalanche Center

Forecast Expired - 02/11/2023

Above 2,500ftModerate

1,500 to 2,500ftModerate

Below 1,500ftModerate

Degrees of Avalanche Danger

Avalanche Problems

Problem 1

Persistent Slab:

The Bottom Line: There are a variety of weak layers throughout the snowpack. The weak persistent layers closer to the top of the snowpack could provide feedback, unlike the deeper persistent layers. 

 

Terrain management continues to be critical! Be prepared for an avalanche that could step down to deeper instabilities, creating a slide that could break very wide, and take out all the “safe” zones on a slope. Be extra careful not to group up in places that an avalanche can reach. Be diligent and patient, practice good group management, communication and decision making. Do not ski/ride on the same slope as another group. Travel one at a time or with enough spacing so that only one person is exposed to an avalanche path at any one time. 

 

 

Buried Surface Hoar Layers:

  • Jan 25th melt freeze crust is about a foot deep (with recent winds and snow, there is a lot of variability on depth of this widespread layer) sitting on top of it are near surface facets, and buried surface hoar from Feb 1-4.
  • January 10th surface hoar is now buried about 2-4 feet deep. It was very active during last week’s storm cycle. Reports of remote-triggered activity on this layer Jan 27-28.
  • The Dec 31 surface hoar layer is present in the Transitional and Pass zones, about 4ft deep. This layer has been active in pits, and caused some natural avalanches in early January
  • Buried SH layers are tricky — they’re hard to find, and may only exist in wind-protected areas. But anywhere they are present you should be highly suspicious of that slope. It would be best to avoid wind-protected pockets that may be harboring this dangerous weak layer. Make continual assessments on test slopes and with stability tests.

 

Photo taken on Jan 12 of Surface Hoar on a W aspect near treeline in the Haines Pass.

 

 

Likelihood:

  • Almost Certain
  • Very Likely
  • Likely
  • Possible
  • Unlikely

Size:

  • Historic
  • Very Large
  • Large
  • Small

Trend

  • Increasing
  • Steady
  • Decreasing

Problem 2

Deep Slab:

Deep weak layers under strong layers are persistent in the transitional zone. A wide safety margin is necessary. This setup could produce avalanches that break wider than expected, and are most likely to be triggered from shallow trigger points like rocks or small trees or a smaller slide that steps down to these lower instabilities.  You could ride the same slope numerous times until that right spot produces a large destructive slide.

Old Melt Layers and Crusts:

  • A buried persistent weak layer about 7+ feet deep (The “Big Warmup” Layer, Formed Nov 17th) is still a concern. Numerous natural avalanches observed 1/27 likely on this layer.
  • A wide safety margin is necessary. This setup could produce avalanches that break wider than expected, and are most likely to be triggered from shallow trigger points like rocks or small trees. You could ride the same slope numerous times until that right spot produces a large destructive slide.

 

“Big Warmup” facet layer in the Transitional Zone at 2500ft on Jan 2 with test results ECTP18 that demonstrated propagation potential on this layer.

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Pit at Old Faithful, 2500’, East aspect on Jan 12. A 5″ thick layer of facets down 170cm. Also, observation noted faceted surface conditions.

 

Depth Hoar at the Ground (Above 3,000′):

  • October snow followed by long cold snaps created depth hoar at the ground in most areas.
  • You are most likely to human-trigger this layer from shallow spots around rocks, or trees, or have a surface avalanche step down to the ground on this layer. Any slides that break to the ground are likely to be deadly.

 

Photos shows 6-9mm advanced depth hoar at the ground down 180cm with ECTP 25 down 80cm on facets below a crust in the Haines Pass Zone at 4,000ft on a NE-aspect.

Likelihood:

  • Almost Certain
  • Very Likely
  • Likely
  • Possible
  • Unlikely

Size:

  • Historic
  • Very Large
  • Large
  • Small

Trend

  • Increasing
  • Steady
  • Decreasing

Avalanche Activity

 

This week: Glide cracks ~3000-3400′ in the transitional zone on N, NE aspects. Also notable was observation of reloading of bed surfaces on previous slides.

January 25-29th:

Isolated fresh D2 wind slab avalanches in cross-loaded gullies near the Little Jarvis/Klehini area.

Reports of two snowmachine-triggered slides at the Pass, one was this D2 up West Nadahini Creek above 4,000′ failed 2-7′ deep on an isolated terrain feature. (likely slid on buried surface hoar)

Recent Natural activity

R4D2.5 at the Pass, likely ran on buried surface Hoar, stepped down to depth hoar at ground. Photo by David Morisette, via MIN.

D3 NE aspect 6000′ near Nadahini with widespread propagation.

D3 cycle between 3000-6000ft. All aspects. Most were unsupported slopes or rocky areas. Crowns 1-3m deep, ran just above ground.

 

Multiple D2 that ran about 2ft deep. In wind protected areas.

 

2000-3000ft widespread full depth wet slabs and glide avys, all aspects.

D2 N aspect 4300ft sub bowl of Old Faithful failed down to near ground, confined to a smaller pocket.

D3 on SW aspect at Lutak Inlet, ran down to the water

D4 on Takhin Ridge

Weather

Forecast:

An afternoon break before the next low pressure hits in the evening with 4-6 inches of snow and moderate SE winds with strong gusts. Temps mild, high 20s, upper teens at higher elevations.

 

Recent Weather Summary:

  • Feb 1-4 Near surface facets on top of crust from Jan 25 warm-up
  • Jan 17-26 brought around 5″ of precip (3-5feet of new snow above 3000ft), strong SE winds, and a noticeable warmup
  • Surface Hoar and Near Surface Facet growth Jan 8-10
  • A strong front brought 24-30″ of snow above 2000ft on Jan 2nd.
  • There was widespread Surface Hoar growth on Dec 31st.
  • Dec 23-26 brought 10-18″ of new snow and a sharp rise in temperatures from -10F to 30F along with variable winds
  • Dec 16-23 brought strong NW winds and arctic cold temperatures
  • Dec 15 brought warmth/light rain up to 2600ft
  • Complete Season Histories:     Transitional Zone     Lutak Zone
 Snow Depth Last 24-hr Snow/SWE Last 3-days Snow/SWE  Today’s Freezing Level   Today’s Winds Next 24-hr Snow/SWE
Mount Ripinsky @ 2,500′  99″  10″ / 1.0″  13″ / 1.30″  0′  light becoming SE mod   5″ / 0.50″
Flower Mountain @ 2,500′  58″  3″ / 0.24″  10″ / 1.00″  0′ light becoming SE mod  6″ / 0.60″
Chilkat Pass @ 3,100ft  43″  1.5″ / 0.15″  6″ / 0.60″  0′ light becoming SE mod  4″ / 0.35″

 

Additional Information

WEAR A HELMET! Be careful of rocks and hidden hazards. Be prepared for crevasses when on a glacier. 

Are your riding companions trained and practiced in avalanche rescue? Everyone in your group needs to have a beacon, shovel, and probe, and know how to use them. Our mountains have very limited cell coverage, carry an emergency communication device and enough gear to spend the night.

Avalanche Canada’s Daily Process Flow – Utilize this everyday you go out in the mountains.

Announcements

Click the +Full Forecast link below for each zone to read more.  If you see any recent natural avalanche activity, or signs of instability please submit an observation.